Credit Portfolio Risk ManagementThis advanced course focuses on credit portfolio risk management techniques, examining several of the models and approaches that have developed in the marketplace. It considers how credit derivatives and other risk mitigation methods can be used in the implementation of a credit portfolio risk management program. There is a discussion of the relationship of credit risk to other risks faced by financial institutions including market risk, operational risk, and liquidity risk. The course examines these risks and the associated management tools and techniques within the broader context of the Value at Risk (VaR) approach to integrated risk management. VaR is important because it has the support of the banking regulators as an acceptable basis for the development of internal models of risk analysis, the return on capital and capital adequacy. Finally, the course addresses the policy, practice and process issues that need to be part of an integrated risk management program within a financial institution. |
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| Credit portfolio managers, credit managers, risk managers, risk controllers, credit risk modelers, investment managers, asset managers, portfolio managers, quantitative analysts, IT professionals, regulators. |
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| No advance preparation required. |
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Students will be able to:- Define market environment and risk management lessons
- Explain risk management and the role of the Regulators
- Define and discuss the integrated view of risk management
- Answer the question of why does the credit cycle exist?
- Define the role of the credit reporting agencies
- Define and Discuss Internal Risk Rating Systems
- Discuss ''measuring risk'' in relation to the Value-at-Risk (VaR) approach
- Explain and apply modern portfolio management techniques
- Define credit risk management in relation to the VaR approach
- Discuss the Options Theoretic Model of credit risk
- Through practical application explain the KMV Model
- Discuss and review the CreditMetrics Model as it relates to:
- A credit migration model of credit risk
- An actuarial model of credit risk
- Define and discuss credit portfolio risk management techniques
- Explain credit derivatives
- Define the importance of operational risk
- Revaluate and discuss integrated risk management
- Review internal risk management organization
- Discuss credit portfolio risk management and risk adjusted return on capital
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| Credit Derivatives: IntermediateAdvanced Credit Risk Analysis |
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DAY ONEOverview & Concepts- Market environment
- Deregulation
- Technology
- Risk management lessons
- Market risk
- Procter & Gamble case study
- Bank for International Settlements
- Operational risk
- Barings & Allied Irish
- Credit risk
- Enron
- Vivendi
Risk Management & the Role of the Regulators- Credit risk, capital & the The Federal Reserve system & the Bank of England
- 1988 BIS Accord
- Capital rule making
- Internal Risk Management
- 1996 BIS Amendment
- BIS standards
- Internal models
- The new Basel Accord implementation
- VaR models & integrated risk management
An Integrated View of Risk Management- Definition of risk
- Market risk
- Credit risk
- Operational risk
- Group of 30 (G-30) Policy Recommendations
The Credit Cycle: Does it exist?- Historical evidence
- Recent experiences
- The credit cycle & interest rates - interpretation
The Role of the Credit Rating Agencies- Concepts
- Process
- Methodology/Oversight
- The Issuer / The Issue
- Credit Enhancement Limitations
| DAY TWOInternal Rating Systems- Exposure, default probability & expected loss
- Default probabilities & recovery
- Policies, structure, process
- Role of agency ratings
- Credit ratings & Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC)
Internal Risk Rating Systems- Exposure, Probability of Default, and Expected Loss
- Default Probabilities & Recovery Rates
- Financial Assessment
- Qualitative Factors
- Industry Analysis
- Third party support
- Term, Structure & Collateral
- Ratings, Pricing, Return on Capital & Economic Capital
Measuring Risk: The Value-at-Risk (VaR) Approach- Traditional approaches
- Notional amount
- Value of a basis point and duration (bond market)
- Value-at-Risk concept
- Definition of VaR
- Specified maximum loss
- Specified time period
- Specified probability
- Calculating VaR
- Variance-covariance approach
- Monte Carlo approach
- Historical simulation
- Advantages & disadvantages
Modern Portfolio Management Techniques - Overview- Modern Portfolio Concepts
- The efficient frontier
- Risk and return - Single asset risk versus portfolio risk Covariation, Correlation & Portfolio Risk
- Portfolio diversification
- Portfolio risk & return
- Marginal risk contribution of an individual asset
Credit Risk Management - VaR Approach- Definition of Credit VaR
- Return distribution: credit vs. security
- Credit VaR & the capital charge
- Expected loss, unexpected loss & economic capital
An Options Theoretic Model of Credit Risk- Conceptual building blocks
- The option approach to credit
- Equity - a call option on the firm's asset value
- Estimating default risk
Practical Application: The KMV Model- Definition of Expected Default Frequency (EDF)
- Addressing the non-normality issue
|  | DAY THREEA Credit Migration Model of Credit Risk: The CreditMetrics Model- The transition matrix
- Defining a credit rating system
- Establishing transition & default probability distributions
- Determining a forward discount curve
- Determining the capital charge
An Actuarial Model of Credit Risk- Characteristics of the default probability distribution
- Advantages & disadvantages
Credit Portfolio Risk Management Techniques- Secondary market trading - ISDA & standardized credit documents
- Asset securitization
- Hedging
Credit Derivatives- Total Return Swap
- Credit Swaps
- Credit Spread Options
Operational Risk- Definition of Operational Risk
- Significance of Operational Risk
- Measuring Operational Risk
- An Operational Risk Measurement Process
- Operational Risk VaR
Integrated Risk Management Revisited- Interrelationships among Market risk, Credit risk, Operational risk
- Credit risk & market risk
- Credit risk & operational risk
- Credit risk & liquidity risk
Internal Risk Management Organization- Life cycle of risk management- From limits to RAROC
- Policy / Infrastructure/ Process Systems & technology
Credit Portfolio Risk Management and Risk-adjusted Return on Capital- Regulatory capital
- Economic capital
- Risk-adjusted return
- Risk-adjusted capital
- Risk-adjusted return on risk-adjust capital
- Looking forward
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| Clients who register for this course will receive a complimentary 6 month subscription to the Financial Times and FT.com. The Financial Times is the world's most respected financial newspaper providing a broad assessment on finance, business and the industrial sector. Subscriptions will start within 6-8 weeks of the application process, and are limited to one per client. For questions about your subscriptions call 800-628-8088 or email uscirculation@ft.com. US and Canada enrollees only. |
Lunch included for all students taking day classes. |
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